Grid (Position, car number, driver, four lap average speed, engine, team):
1) #9 Scott Dixon, 226.760, Chevrolet, Chip Ganassi Racing
2) #1 Will Power, 226.350, Chevrolet, Team Penske
3) #22 Simon Pagenaud, 226.145, Chevrolet, Team Penske
4) #10 Tony Kanaan, 225.503, Chevrolet, Chip Ganassi Racing
5) #3 Helio Castroneves, 225.502, Chevrolet, Team Penske
6) #25 Justin Wilson, 225.279, Honda, Andretti Autosport
7) #11 Sebastien Bourdais, 225.193, Chevrolet, KV Racing
8) #27 Marco Andretti, 225.189, Honda, Andretti Autosport
9) #21 Josef Newgarden, 225.187, Chevrolet, CFH Racing
10) #6 JR Hildebrand, 225.099, Chevrolet, CFH Racing
11) #26 Carlos Munoz, 225.042, Honda, Andretti Autosport
12) #20T Ed Carpenter, 224.883, Chevrolet, CFH Racing
13) #32 Oriol Servia, 224.777, Honda, Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing
14) #83 Charlie Kimball, 224.743, Chevrolet, Chip Ganassi Racing
15) #2 Juan Pablo Montoya, 224.657, Chevrolet, Team Penske
16) #28 Ryan Hunter-Reay, 224.573, Honda, Andretti Autosport
17) #15 Graham Rahal, 224.290, Honda, Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing
18) #18 Carlos Huertas, 224.233, Honda, Dale Coyne Racing
19) #29 Simona de Silvestro, 223.838, Honda, Andretti Autosport
20) #7 James Jakes, 223.790, Honda, Schmidt Peterson Motorsports
21) #48 Alex Tagliani, 223.722, Honda, AJ Foyt Enterprises
22) #8 Sage Karam, 223.595, Chevrolet, Chip Ganassi Racing
23) #43 Conor Daly, 223.482, Honda, Schmidt Peterson Motorsports
24) #24 Townsend Bell, 223.447, Chevrolet, Dreyer & Reinbold Kingdom Racing
25) #14 Takuma Sato, 223.226, Honda, AJ Foyt Enterprises
26) #63 Pippa Mann, 223.104, Honda, Dale Coyne Racing
27) #98 Gabby Chaves, 222.916, Honda, Bryan Herta Autosport
28) #17 Sebastian Saavedra, 222.898, Chevrolet, Chip Ganassi Racing
29) #41 Jack Hawksworth, 223.738, Honda, AJ Foyt Enterprises
30) #4 Stefano Coletti, 222.001, Chevrolet, KV Racing
31) #88 Bryan Clauson, 221.358, Chevrolet, Jonathan Byrd's Racing
32) #19 James Davison, 223.747, Honda, Dale Coyne Racing*
33) #5 Ryan Briscoe, 223.519, Honda, Schmidt Peterson Motorsports**
*Tristan Vautier qualified 21st in place of the absent James Davison
**James Hinchcliffe qualified the car 23rd but is unable to race due to injury
(Both of the above changes result in a drop to the rear of the field)
Nations Represented (number represents how many drivers from that nation)
United States of America - 11
Colombia - 5
England - 4
Australia - 3
Brazil - 2
France - 2
Canada - 1
Japan - 1
Monaco - 1
New Zealand - 1
Spain - 1
Switzerland - 1
Former Winners of the Indianapolis 500
Helio Castroneves (2001, '02, and '09)
Juan Pablo Montoya (2000)
Ryan Hunter-Reay (2014)
Scott Dixon (2008)
Tony Kanaan (2013)
Former Polesitters of the Indianapolis 500
Alex Tagliani (2011)
Ed Carpenter (2012 and '13)
Helio Castroneves (2003, '07, '09, and '10)
Ryan Briscoe (2012)
Scott Dixon (2008)
Tony Kanaan (2005)
Average Finishing Position of Participants at Indianapolis 500 (career)
|Juan Pablo Montoya||3.0|
|Simona de Silvestro||23.5|
Most Positions Gained by Participants at Indianapolis 500 (career)
|Simona de Silvestro||8|
|Juan Pablo Montoya||6|
'Based On Where They Start'
Returning for another year is the 'Based On Where They Start.' Last year, I tweeted out the probability of each driver winning from their grid position based on past Indianapolis 500s. I am again applying the previous 98 Indianapolis 500s to determine what chances each driver has of winning based on where they qualified. Here are the stats:
20 drivers have won from pole. Scott Dixon thus has a 20.4% chance of winning.
11 drivers have won from 2nd and 3rd place. Will Power and Simon Pagenaud share a 11.2% chance of winning.
7 drivers have won from 5th place. Helio Castroneves has a 7.1% chance of winning.
6 drivers have won from 4th place. Tony Kanaan has a 6.1% chance of winning.
5 drivers have won from the 6th and 7th place on the grid. Justin Wilson and Sebastien Bourdais have a 5.1% chance of winning.
4 drivers have won from the luckiest position on the grid, P13. That gives Oriol Servia a 4.1% chance of winning.
3 drivers have won from 15th and 20th positions. Both Juan Pablo Montoya and James Jakes share a 3.1 % chance of winning.
2 drivers have won from positions 8th, 10th, 12th, 16th, 17th, 19th,, 22nd, and 28th each. This gives Marco Andretti, JR Hildebrand, Ed Carpenter, Ryan Hunter-Reay, Graham Rahal, Simona de Silvestro, Sage Karam, and Sebastian Saavedra a 2% chance of winning each.
1 driver has from 9th, 14th, 21st, 25th, and 27th, meaning Josef Newgarden, Charlie Kimball, Alex Tagliani, Takuma Sato, and Gabby Chaves all have a 1% chance of winning.
0 drivers haves won from 18th, 23rd, 24th, 26th, 29th, 30th, 31st, 32nd, and 33rd and equal share of 0% chance at winning. These drivers are Carlos Huertas, Conor Daly, Townsend Bell, Pippa Mann, Jack Hawksworth, Stefano Coletti, Bryan Clauson, James Davison, and Ryan Briscoe.
There are certain drivers in the field that are tough to bet against. Helio Castroneves, Juan Pablo Montoya, Marco Andretti, Tony Kanaan, and Scott Dixon. These guys are always considered to be winners. If I had to pick one, I would pick Marco.
Some drivers to watch make their way up through the field are Sage Karam, Conor Daly, and Gabby Chaves. I'd keep an eye on Chaves, as he has had a good car in traffic this month.
I'm not expecting much from AJ Foyt's team, and three high qualifiers for CFH Racing could either end really well or a disaster for the team. Josef Newgarden and Ed Carpenter have never had much luck in the race, and we know about JR Hildebrand;s misfortunes in the race.
It's such a talented field, who knows what to expect!
Thanks for reading!